Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.260234 0.306229 0.360914 0.431564 0.521675 0.634515 0.789378
2025-01-19 0.190296 0.244993 0.318648 0.428431 0.594178 0.846607 1.286010
2025-01-26 0.154677 0.212385 0.297575 0.439597 0.686644 1.136534 2.134504
2025-02-02 0.133081 0.192109 0.285857 0.457451 0.795788 1.526709 3.628510
2025-02-09 0.116859 0.175470 0.274183 0.469516 0.899510 1.991256 6.130800
2025-02-16 0.105119 0.163238 0.266231 0.484797 1.018408 2.612900 10.923976
2025-02-23 0.095126 0.151888 0.256866 0.493534 1.127938 3.347278 19.884180
2025-03-02 0.086563 0.141500 0.246881 0.497393 1.228612 4.211693 37.770991
2025-03-09 0.078876 0.131471 0.235491 0.494259 1.308857 5.152567 74.412741
2025-03-16 0.071731 0.121435 0.222193 0.482371 1.355494 6.050774 148.493931
2025-03-23 0.067821 0.117122 0.220287 0.500061 1.524106 8.184670 575.128316
2025-03-30 0.062414 0.109123 0.208831 0.487812 1.568994 9.611496 2057.831794
2025-04-06 0.058778 0.104408 0.204348 0.495702 1.715547 12.741347 79392.111633
2025-04-13 0.054734 0.098397 0.195929 0.489464 1.796770 15.779818 NaN
2025-04-20 0.052112 0.095097 0.193511 0.501999 1.992382 22.295719 NaN
2025-04-27 0.050125 0.092926 0.193521 0.523041 2.267490 34.502606 NaN
2025-05-04 0.048007 0.090218 0.191708 0.537369 2.527714 53.120016 NaN
2025-05-11 0.046214 0.088035 0.190922 0.555621 2.852094 89.263221 NaN
2025-05-18 0.044281 0.085326 0.188290 0.566078 3.143584 149.723848 NaN
2025-05-25 0.042318 0.082349 0.184477 0.570702 3.404239 254.120665 NaN
2025-06-01 0.040264 0.078970 0.179055 0.566944 3.590295 417.265006 NaN
2025-06-08 0.038081 0.075096 0.171716 0.552705 3.654889 615.492256 NaN
2025-06-15 0.037054 0.073920 0.172096 0.573899 4.178376 2021.407193 NaN